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Sunday, September 23, 2007

Alternative Energy Stocks provide years of upside

The Week in Cleantech (Sep. 2 to Sep. 8) - Is Geothermal Really Alternative Energy's Klondike?

from http://www.altenergystocks.com/


On Wednesday, Energy Tech Stocks gave us the heads up on a recent warning by Raymond James & Associate about declining oil production. Interesting to see a thesis that was derided as pure fantasy as recently as two years ago slowly creeping up into the mainstream.

On Thursday, Sam Abuelsamid at Autoblog Green opined that CO2 regulations in Europe could place the balance of power on the auto parts suppliers' side in the fight for profit margins. We have noted in the past how some of the most interesting (and 'safest') clean car investment opportunities rested with parts manufacturers. Besides CO2 regulations in Europe, tightening fuel efficiency standards the world over should help parts manufacturers do well relative to car makers.

On Thursday, Andrea Quong at Red Herring informed us that VCs were striking out for greener pastures. It is always interesting to know where cleantech venture capitalists are turning their attention to.

On Thursday, Biopact reported on China's latest alternative energy plans. Of course the caveat with this grand scheme is that half of the proposed US$265 billion will go toward large hydro, which tends to receive mixed reviews from just about everyone. Nevertheless, US$133 billion in investments in biofuels, bioenergy, wind and other forms of alternative energy, not to mention pollution control, will create very interesting opportunities for a variety of different companies.
On Friday, Rob Day, formerly of Cleantech Investing and now with Greentech Media, outlined for us the main barriers to adoption of energy efficiency applications in commercial buildings. An interesting piece that partly explains why, despite seemingly compelling economics, energy efficiency technologies such as smart metering aren't taking off as fast as could be expected.
On Friday, Jim Fraser at The Energy Blog reported on a small Icelandic bank's big bet on geothermal. Geothermal tends to fade in and out of the alternative energy newswire, yet it may be one of the most compelling alternative energy investment stories out there. I haven't read the report but I trust that it is packed with very useful information for the would-be geothermal investor.

The Week in Cleantech is a weekly roundup of our favorite cleantech and alt energy blog posts and stories from across the web. If you know of a good piece that you think should be included here, don't hesitate to let us know!

Posted by Charles Morand

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WARNING: Investing in common equity of public companies is a high risk, high potential reward activity. Owning investments in individual alternative energy companies is for high risk investors only, and medium risk investors should consider green mutual funds, clean energy funds, renewable power index funds and other sector plays. Even then, these should be owned as part of a widely diversified portfolio. There is a gathering mania for investing in publicly-traded alternative energy companies, similar to the computer, technology, internet and banking / real estate booms of the past two decades. There will be some nasty corrections along the way, and some years from now when they come crashing down en masse, the world will still benefit from all the amazingly advanced clean and efficient energy technology created during the bull run. (Above note re-written March 2009 as my earlier prediction of a market top and a crash in the sector starting in August '09 was hastened by the credit markets collapse and began in August 2008, before the bubble had fully formed. Of all the sectors in the equity markets, clean energy has the best prospects to assume market leadership and public favour; we are bouncing aong the bottom still, and those who have followed our guidance to begin including (in a judiciously blended portfolio of cash, bonds, stocks and yes, um... real estate) green energy investment funds dollar-cost-averaging programs in Winter and Spring of 2009 are well positioned for longterm capital growth.)

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