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CAUTION: Investing in common stocks of publicly-listed companies is a high risk (and high potential reward) activity. Owning investments in individual renewable energy technology companies is for high risk investors only, and medium risk investors should consider green mutual funds, closed-end clean energy funds, alternative energy index funds and other clean energy sector investments. Even then, these funds should be owned as part of a widely diversified portfolio, and always be considered as longer term investments.

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Friday, January 23, 2009

Green Energy Stocks; De-coupling from BOTH Oil and the Market?

If clean power investments are to have a record year of capital gains in equity markets, and a lot of lined-up ducks indicate that it's at least a possibility, then the wind power sector is going to have to regain some torque. Photovoltaic solar energy stocks are mostly up sharply from November lows, yet windpower companies find their share prices lagging, and skepticism surrounding their industry. It's temporary, as growth in offshore markets is exponential, and the area of vertical windpower with microturbines (parking lot windpower!!!) is only in initial stages of deployment.

Sexy solar stocks will likely continue to lead, followed shortly by the windpower stocks, then geothermal investments, and eventually biofuels and natural gas.

Do readers feel this will be a great year for clean energy stocks, or are people concerned that wider troubles will make all equity investments even more out of favour?

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WARNING: Investing in common equity of public companies is a high risk, high potential reward activity. Owning investments in individual alternative energy companies is for high risk investors only, and medium risk investors should consider green mutual funds, clean energy funds, renewable power index funds and other sector plays. Even then, these should be owned as part of a widely diversified portfolio. There is a gathering mania for investing in publicly-traded alternative energy companies, similar to the computer, technology, internet and banking / real estate booms of the past two decades. There will be some nasty corrections along the way, and some years from now when they come crashing down en masse, the world will still benefit from all the amazingly advanced clean and efficient energy technology created during the bull run. (Above note re-written March 2009 as my earlier prediction of a market top and a crash in the sector starting in August '09 was hastened by the credit markets collapse and began in August 2008, before the bubble had fully formed. Of all the sectors in the equity markets, clean energy has the best prospects to assume market leadership and public favour; we are bouncing aong the bottom still, and those who have followed our guidance to begin including (in a judiciously blended portfolio of cash, bonds, stocks and yes, um... real estate) green energy investment funds dollar-cost-averaging programs in Winter and Spring of 2009 are well positioned for longterm capital growth.)

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