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Thursday, January 31, 2008

Solar Power Stocks & Alternative Energy News; SPWR, VWSYF, GCTAF

SPWR benefited from the increasing popularity of thin film solar to ride the success of its EverQ division and surprise the street by announcing that Sunpower turned a profit in the 4th quarter.

Alternative energy sector expert Elliott Gue of TheStockAdvsiors.com looks at wind power:

"The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that wind power will grow by more than 7%, encouraged by generous government subsidies. Compare that to just 1.5% annualized projected growth in total electricity demand.

"The world's largest wind turbine producer, Vestas Wind Systems (OTC: VWSYF), fell on hard times back in 2005. It priced some of its turbines too aggressively and saw a surge in warranty claims because of defective components.

"But the stock appears back on track. Warranty provisions are down to 5% of revenues. Profit margins surged 4 percentage points year-over-year because of more rational turbine pricing. Vestas' current backlog stands at EUR4.1 billion (US $6.03 billion), up more than 30% year-over-year.

"Spain's Gamesa (OTC: GCTAF) is second only to Vestas in the wind-turbine market. The company recently opened new factories in China and the US, expanding its manufacturing capacity to 3,000 megawatts annually, up 36% from the end of 2006.

"The firm also designs and constructs entire wind farm projects on a turnkey basis. It also offers ongoing maintenance and operation service contracts. Buy Gamesa under US $45.

"Carbon fiber is a strong yet light material used to manufacture turbine blades. Fiber is in short supply amid surging demand in two key markets: advanced aerospace and wind power. Tight supplies mean rising prices for the key manufacturers of fiber, including Advantage Portfolio recommendation Hexcel Corp. (NYSE: HXL) and Zoltek Industries (NSDQ: ZOLT)."


SolarBuzz.com reports Spanish subsidiary of Phoenix Solar AG last week signed contracts for the construction of photovoltaic power plants in Spain that will have a peak output of more than 9 megawatts (MW). This corresponds to sales of over EUR 40 million.

RenewableEnergyWeekly.com has published an analysis called The State of Green Business in 2008, citing research reported on GreenBiz.com.

Their conclusion: Environmental performance overall in the U.S. is gradually advancing, but often not at the pace needed to offset economic growth or avoid the worst effects of climate change.

"The state of green business is improving, slowly but surely, as companies both large and small learn the value of integrating environmental thinking into their operations in ways that align with core business strategy and bottom-line goals," said Joel Makower, executive editor of GreenBiz.com. "Green business has shifted from a movement to a market. But there is much, much more to do."

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WARNING: Investing in common equity of public companies is a high risk, high potential reward activity. Owning investments in individual alternative energy companies is for high risk investors only, and medium risk investors should consider green mutual funds, clean energy funds, renewable power index funds and other sector plays. Even then, these should be owned as part of a widely diversified portfolio. There is a gathering mania for investing in publicly-traded alternative energy companies, similar to the computer, technology, internet and banking / real estate booms of the past two decades. There will be some nasty corrections along the way, and some years from now when they come crashing down en masse, the world will still benefit from all the amazingly advanced clean and efficient energy technology created during the bull run. (Above note re-written March 2009 as my earlier prediction of a market top and a crash in the sector starting in August '09 was hastened by the credit markets collapse and began in August 2008, before the bubble had fully formed. Of all the sectors in the equity markets, clean energy has the best prospects to assume market leadership and public favour; we are bouncing aong the bottom still, and those who have followed our guidance to begin including (in a judiciously blended portfolio of cash, bonds, stocks and yes, um... real estate) green energy investment funds dollar-cost-averaging programs in Winter and Spring of 2009 are well positioned for longterm capital growth.)

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