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Monday, November 19, 2007

FT report: Alternative Energy Investing reaching record levels

Green technology investment soaring!!!

By Fiona Harvey, Environment Correspondent, and Kevin Allison in San Francisco

Financial times Report

This year will be another record-breaking year for venture capital investment in “clean” technologies, according to a new analysis of the market.

Nick Parker, chairman of the Cleantech Group of analysts, said: “There is no doubt this year will break records in terms of the amount invested. But this year will also be notable for the amount of commercial take-up of clean technologies.”

Last year, more than $4bn (£1.9bn) of venture capital was invested in environmental technologies such as renewable energy, water technologies and carbon reduction technologies. The sector is now the biggest recipient of venture capital funds in the US, and in the first three quarters alone about $3.8bn of venture capital was invested, Mr Parker said.

Such large flows of capital are now pouring into clean technology in response to record high energy prices and governments’ perceived willingness to regulate carbon. Total investment, not just venture capital, in “clean” or low-carbon technology reached $74bn last year, according to Michael Liebreich, founder of New Energy Finance, a consultancy.

But investment in clean technology is heavily dependent on politics. Vinod Khosla, founder of Khosla Ventures, a venture capital group focused on clean tech start-ups, says: “Policy is absolutely important in the clean-tech space. The traditional businesses have strong political forces in play. Somebody has to educate Washington.”

Mr Parker agrees: “Politically, the big shift is in recognising that the market will respond if they send the right signals. But there is a sense in the business world that there is no going back now [for politicians]. This is a one-way bet.”

Al Gore’s announcement on Monday that he had been made a partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield and Byers, the Silicon Valley venture capital company that helped to fuel the internet boom in the 1990s, illustrated the link between politics and investment in this sector.
In most countries, renewable energy is not competitive with conventional sources such as coal-fired power without government support in the form of subsidies, fixed energy prices or regulations mandating a certain amount of electricity should come from renewable sources.
As conventional energy prices rise, however, clean technologies become more competitive, as companies and consumers are financially driven to look for alternatives.

Companies investing in clean technology have been keen supporters of carbon-restricting policies.

“We strongly advocate a price on carbon,” said John Doerr, partner at KPCB. “Policy matters enormously and it’s woven into every part of our worldwide energy economy and for good reasons.”

Clean technology investors are also awaiting the outcome of a meeting of the world’s leading climate scientists who have been discussing the key messages on the state of the world’s climate.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a body of the world’s climate experts convened by the United Nations, is meeting in the Spanish city of Valencia to distil its work over the past six years into 30 important findings to be presented to policymakers tomorrow.
This will be in time for them to digest the information before a crucial United Nations meeting on climate change in Bali in December.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2007

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WARNING: Investing in common equity of public companies is a high risk, high potential reward activity. Owning investments in individual alternative energy companies is for high risk investors only, and medium risk investors should consider green mutual funds, clean energy funds, renewable power index funds and other sector plays. Even then, these should be owned as part of a widely diversified portfolio. There is a gathering mania for investing in publicly-traded alternative energy companies, similar to the computer, technology, internet and banking / real estate booms of the past two decades. There will be some nasty corrections along the way, and some years from now when they come crashing down en masse, the world will still benefit from all the amazingly advanced clean and efficient energy technology created during the bull run. (Above note re-written March 2009 as my earlier prediction of a market top and a crash in the sector starting in August '09 was hastened by the credit markets collapse and began in August 2008, before the bubble had fully formed. Of all the sectors in the equity markets, clean energy has the best prospects to assume market leadership and public favour; we are bouncing aong the bottom still, and those who have followed our guidance to begin including (in a judiciously blended portfolio of cash, bonds, stocks and yes, um... real estate) green energy investment funds dollar-cost-averaging programs in Winter and Spring of 2009 are well positioned for longterm capital growth.)

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